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Molycorp's Convertible Debt Is Woth 3-5 Cents On The Dollar PDF Print E-mail

Given the risk of an imminent capital raise at Molycorp, Inc. (MCP), I think the stock is overvalued. That said, I have decided to look at the company's bonds instead. The following chart illustrates the company's long-term debt, its rating and where it is trading, per FINRA.

  • The principal amount of the company's outstanding convertible notes total $793 million.
  • At June 4, 2014 they traded from 60 cents to 69 cents on the dollar. Yields ranged from 21% to 25%.
  • The bonds are subordinate to the 10% senior notes with a principal amount of $650 million.
  • In 1Q 2014, Molycorp recorded about $35 million in interest expense on all of its non-current debt.
  • Based upon the company's cash outflows, it is possible that Molycorp will run out of cash in 1Q 2015, rendering it unable to pay interest or principal on the debentures. Read more:
Molycorp's L/T Debt Does Not Reflect Bankrupt Risk PDF Print E-mail
My Molycorp Inc. (MCP) June 2014 puts are in the red after the stock bounced from its recent 52-week low of $2.44/share. Since I cannot make money on the stock, I decided to look at the bonds. Yesterday a news flash shot across my computer screen that Molycorp bonds had a one-year default risk of 2.76%. Given the company's need for an equity raise, I thought that seemed a bit low, so I decided to do my own due diligence. Read more:
Molycorp His 52 Week Low of $2.44/Share PDF Print E-mail
Molycorp Inc's (MCP) stock hit a 52-week low of $2.45/share yesterday. The stock closed at $2.50/share, representing a one-day decline of 7.1%. Some may have attributed the sell off to the article, Molycorp: $560MM Intangibles Are Worthless, which questioned the value of the company's intangible assets amid consistent operating losses. My interpretation as to why Molycorp has reached a 52-week low is as follows ... Read more:
Will Pandora Ever Turn A Profit? PDF Print E-mail
After the stagnant growth of digital downloads, music streaming companies are in the spotlight. The announcement that Spotify had 10 million paid subscribers and the recent $3 billion acquisition of Beats Electronics by Apple, Inc. (AAPL), may have solidified music streaming's status as the next growth industry. Meanwhile, in 2013 Google, Inc. (GOOG) (GOOGL) entered the industry through its Google Music, and Amazon, Inc. (AMZN) is planning on offering music streaming to customers of Amazon Prime - its video streaming service. However, the question remains, "Is music streaming a viable business?" If you analyze Pandora Media's (P) historical financial performance, the answer is "No." Read more:
Marianne Williamson - Populist Test Case For Democratic Party? PDF Print E-mail

Marianne Williamson, teacher and authors, is running for congress in California's 33rd congressional district. The seat was vacated by democrat Henry Waxman who is leaving after 40 years in congress. What makes Williams so interesting is that she campaigning on a strong populist message - fewer prisoners, Wall Street reform, quelling big business' influence on politics. Could she be the test came for the democratic party in 2016?

Molycorp: How Much Pain Can Investors Endure? PDF Print E-mail
ImageLeading rare earth producer Molycorp, Inc. (MCP) announced disappointing earnings again for 1Q 2014. Net revenues of $118.5 million were down 18% from 1Q 2013. The company produced 4,389 (mt) of rare earth minerals, up 10% from 1Q 2013. However, its weighted average selling price (asp) declined 26% from $36.60 in 1Q 2013 to In the November 2012 article, Molycorp And "The Pain Ahead", I was derided for predicting that falling rare earth prices would ravage the business prospects of rare earth producers, including Molycorp. Eighteen months and two dilutive events later, Molycorp's average selling price is still in the doldrums. $27.01 in 1Q 2014. Molycorp went on to report a loss attributable to shareholders of $88.1 million for the quarter. Read more:
Apple/Beats Will Crush Pandora and Spotify PDF Print E-mail

ImageAccording to reports Apple Inc. (AAPL) has agreed to acquire Beats, the premium headphone maker, for $3.2 billion or about 3x sales. Known for making smaller deals to acquire technology or managerial talent, the transaction would be Apple's largest to date. This all begs the question, "Why would Apple pay up for a headphone manufacturer whose product can be replicated?" Hip hop impresario Dr. Dre and music executive Jimmy Iovine have produced the coolest entertainment product since the iPod, and they have the relationships with taste makers - artists, professional athletes - to keep it that way.

Video: Lance Stephenson Blows In LeBron's Ear PDF Print E-mail

In Game 5 of the ECF, Lance Stephenson whispered to LeBron, "Yo mama, let me holla at you for a second." So old school. 


#1 The BookThat's Got Bill Clinton On The Defense PDF Print E-mail

ImageAfter former President Bill Clinton defended his economic legacy during the Clinton Lectures at Georgetown University in late April, the reaction from participants and the media was quizzical. First, his economic legacy has never been in question. Secondly, Clinton never directed his comments at any one individual or group. A few weeks later at the 2014 Fiscal Summit, Clinton posed a more rabid defense of his repeal of Glass-Steagall, claiming, "Not one bank failed due to the repeal of Glass-Steagall." We debunked the Elizabeth Warren populist and the Joe Biden knee jerk reaction angles. However, we have solved the conundrum. Below are the words from hock Exchange: How Inner-City Kids From Brooklyn Predicted the Great Recession and the Pain Ahead, that have apparently gotten Clinton's dander up:

Molycorp: Catching A Falling Knife? PDF Print E-mail
Molycorp (MCP) reported Q1 2014 earnings last week, and it disappointed on several fronts. Sure, product sales of 3,518 metric tons (MT) were a 10% increase over Q4 2013. However, net revenues declined 4.3% to 118.5 million versus Q4 2013 revenues of $123.8 million. Its most glaring problems have been cash burn and lack of management credibility. That said, Wall Street analysts and investors have turned sour on the company, pummeling the stock price. With net revenues reeling from declining rare earth prices, Molycorp's costs of sales have exceeded net revenues. In other words, it has been selling rare earth products at a loss. The company achieved a gross loss of $23.1 million and $27.0 million in Q1 2014 and Q4 2013, respectively. Read more:
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